Wednesday, February 01, 2006

Jason Bay

2005 key stats: .306/.402/.559 with 32 homers 44 doubles and 6 triples, 21/22 SB
2006 ZiPS: .297/.395/.557 with 32/35/5

There's not much I can say about Jason Bay that hasn't already been said. The guy can do it all, he's been doing it for two seasons, and he'll probably keep doing it next year. I don't know what kind of protection to expect for him in the lineup, I'm guessing we're looking at something like Duffy/JWilson/Bay/Burnitz/Casey. It means his RBIs will probably go down, as I don't imagine Duffy and Jack will get on base as much as you'd want the first two guys in a line up to get on. Then again, Burnitz and Casey probably won't be much worse than the guys we paraded around behind Bay last year while Craiggers was hurt. Bay was 26 last year, which means he's still at the age where he could be getting better, and he won't be getting worse. If he can stay healthy again, I don't see any reason we shouldn't expect .310/.410/.560 out of him next year.